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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
453 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-SDZ038-050-052>054-
057>071-161000-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O`Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-
Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Dixon-Dakota-Beadle-Gregory-Jerauld-Sanborn-
Miner-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-McCook-Minnehaha-Charles Mix-
Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Lincoln-Bon Homme-Yankton-Union-
453 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, northeast Nebraska, central South Dakota, east central South
Dakota, south central South Dakota and southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Clusters of thunderstorms are expected to develop around the Highway
81 to Interstate 29 corridors in the early afternoon, moving east
into northwest Iowa through this evening. Isolated strong to severe
storms are possible, with the primary threats of hail to 1.5 inches
(ping pong ball size) and wind gusts to 60 mph. Locally heavy rain
may also produce ponding water in urban locations and low lying
areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Additional thunderstorms are expected Monday afternoon and evening,
with a Slight (Level 2 of 5) Risk for severe storms. The primary
threat with initial storms will be hail up to golf ball size,
though isolated larger hail and perhaps a tornado are possible. As
storms evolve into line segments, the primary threat will transition
to damaging wind gusts up to 65 mph with isolated embedded tornadoes.
The greatest uncertainty for Monday is exactly where storms will
develop and track.

By the end of this week, heat and humidity building into the area may
produce periods of heat indices above 100F in some areas. Those with
outdoor activities planned, or with limited cooling resources, will
want to monitor the forecast and prepare for potential extreme heat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible between 3 pm and 10 pm today.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
453 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-SDZ039-040-055-056-161000-
Lincoln-Lyon-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-Pipestone-Rock-
Kingsbury-Brookings-Lake-Moody-
453 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Minnesota and east
central South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

An area of low clouds and fog has developed early this morning.
Locally dense fog will reduce visibility 1/2 mile or less at times
through mid-morning, especially along and east of the Buffalo Ridge
in southwest Minnesota.

Clusters of thunderstorms are expected to develop around the Highway
81 to Interstate 29 corridors in the early afternoon, moving east
into southwest Minnesota through this evening. Isolated strong to
severe storms are possible, with the primary threats of hail to 1.5
inches (ping pong ball size) and wind gusts to 60 mph. Locally heavy
rain may also produce ponding water in urban locations and low lying
areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Additional thunderstorms are expected Monday afternoon and evening,
with an Enhanced (Level 3 of 5) Risk for severe storms. Initial
storms will be capable of producing golf ball size or larger hail
along with isolated tornadoes. As storms evolve into line segments,
the primary threat will transition to damaging wind gusts up to 65
mph with isolated embedded tornadoes. The greatest uncertainty for
Monday is exactly where storms will develop and track.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible between 3 pm and 10 pm today.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
419 AM MDT Sun Jun 15 2025

SDZ013-014-024-026>032-041>044-046-047-049-072>077-WYZ055-058-059-
161300-
Northern Meade Co Plains-Ziebach-Northern Black Hills-Rapid City-
Southern Foothills-Central Black Hills-Southern Black Hills-
Custer Co Plains-Pennington Co Plains-Haakon-Western Fall River-
Northern Oglala Lakota-Northern Jackson-Bennett-Mellette-Todd-
Tripp-Sturgis/Piedmont Foothills-Southern Meade Co Plains-
Hermosa Foothills-Eastern Fall River-Southern Oglala Lakota-
Southern Jackson-Southern Campbell-Weston County Plains-Newcastle-
419 AM MDT Sun Jun 15 2025 /519 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western South
Dakota and northeastern Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a slight risk (level 2 of 5) of severe thunderstorms
this afternoon and evening, meaning that scattered severe storms
are possible. Primary hazards include large hail and damaging
winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

There is a slight risk (level 2 of 5) of severe thunderstorms
on Monday, meaning that scattered severe storms are possible.
Primary hazards include large hail and damaging winds.

There is a chance for thunderstorms through Tuesday. While a few
storms may be strong, widespread severe weather is not expected
at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed today.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check
our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
516 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-161030-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-Grant-
Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-Logan-
Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
516 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025 /416 AM MDT Sun Jun 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms become possible by mid-
evening across much of western Nebraska. Primary concern will be
damaging wind gusts with secondary concerns being large hail and
heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are again possible Monday along a cool
front stalled across western Nebraska. Large hail, damaging winds,
and a tornado or two are the main concerns. Storm coverage increases
Monday evening with rounds of rain and thunderstorms through Tuesday
that could drop heavy rainfall totaling one to two inches with
locally heavier amounts possible by Wednesday morning.

Temperatures will climb for the latter half of the week. Afternoon
highs in the upper 90s to low 100s appear possible each day Thursday
through Saturday with heat indices approaching the triple digits.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed west of Highway 83.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
454 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

SDZ007-008-011-018-019-161000-
Marshall-Roberts-Day-Spink-Clark-
454 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a marginal risk (level 1 out of 5) of severe thunderstorms.
Hail up to one inch and thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 60 mph
are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a slight risk (level 2 out of 5) of severe thunderstorms on
Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
454 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

SDZ020>023-161000-
Codington-Grant-Hamlin-Deuel-
454 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a marginal risk (level 1 out of 5) of severe thunderstorms.
Hail up to one inch and thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 60 mph
are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is an enhanced risk (level 3 out of 5) of severe thunderstorms
on Monday. Large hail, damaging thunderstorm winds and a tornado or
two are all possible severe weather threats Monday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
454 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

SDZ003-004-009-010-015>017-034-161000-
Corson-Campbell-Walworth-Edmunds-Dewey-Potter-Faulk-Sully-
454 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025 /354 AM MDT Sun Jun 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central South Dakota and
north central South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a slight risk (level 2 out of 5) of severe thunderstorms.
Hail up to one inch and thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 70 mph
are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a marginal risk (level 1 out of 5) of severe thunderstorms
on Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
454 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

SDZ033-035>037-045-048-051-161000-
Stanley-Hughes-Hyde-Hand-Jones-Lyman-Buffalo-
454 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025 /354 AM MDT Sun Jun 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a slight risk (level 2 out of 5) of severe thunderstorms.
Hail up to one inch and thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 60 mph
are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a slight risk (level 2 out of 5) of severe thunderstorms on
Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
451 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-161000-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
451 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight

Scattered thunderstorms across northern Iowa early this morning
will transition into more widespread thunderstorms this afternoon
and evening, continuing overnight. A few strong to severe storms
are possible with hail and gusty winds possible. Pockets of heavy
rain will also be possible with the stronger storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Multiple rounds of more widespread thunderstorms are forecast
to continue into this week with severe weather possible at times.
Localized ponding and river rises are also possible, in addition
to the potential for flash flooding with this activity. Specific
details during that time frame will be better known in the coming
days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is unlikely this weekend but may be needed at
times this coming week. Rainfall reports are always appreciated.

$$

Hagenhoff

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
414 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-152315-
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-
Page-Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-
Stanton-Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-
Saunders-Douglas-Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-
Jefferson-Gage-Johnson-Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
414 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Iowa...west central Iowa...east central Nebraska...northeast
Nebraska and southeast Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated strong to severe storms are possible today (5-10%
chance) for portions of eastern Nebraska and western Iowa, with 60
mph winds and 1" hail being the primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

The highest chance for severe storms will arrive Monday and
Tuesday (15%). The primary threats will be damaging winds and
hail, though a tornado or two cannot be ruled out Tuesday.

Heavy rainfall and flash flooding are also possible (5-15%
chance) with showers and storms Monday night and especially
Tuesday.

Chances are increasing for oppressive heat moving into the
Central Plains late next week into next weekend as heat indices
reach 100 degrees.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
251 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
160800-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
251 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible across western
and southern Minnesota this afternoon and evening. Localized areas
of heavy rainfall are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are expected Monday through
Wednesday. This will result in additional chances for strong to
severe storms and heavy rainfall, especially on Monday when the
chance for severe storms is highest.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: [email protected]
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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